At an Easter brunch with friends, we were discussing the difficulty of finding good financial investments at a time when real estate has been problematical and most conservative vehicles are paying less than 1%.
In a similar (if less volatile) market some years
back, my now-husband, Olof (whom I was dating at the time), concluded after
considerable contemplation and, more to the point, a lot of observation during
weekends he spent at our house, that the investment of choice was allowance
futures.
The way allowance worked in my household at the time
was that each kid got $4.00 a week, assuming, of course, that they got no fines
for misbehavior. Additionally, we had a
bonus point system whereby exceptionally nice behavior (extra chores, a
considerate act toward a sibling etc.) was rewarded with bonus points which
were irrevocable (i.e. not subject to fines) and based on the theory that bad
behavior shouldn’t cancel out good, and also that my older son, Rory, sometimes
had more fines than the national debt. Bonus
points could be cashed in for $.25 or for staying up an extra half hour. (They almost always took the cash.) So if a kid was having an usually bad week,
he could not only flatline his allowance but actually owe ME.
So the way Olof saw it, on, say, January 15, he’d
negotiate with Rory to buy his April 1 allowance for say, $2.00, betting that
Rory was going to behave and that I’d be paying more than that (up to the full
$4.00 plus bonus points.) If so, Olof
got all Rory’s payable allowance that week.
Rory, however, knowing that he tends to mouth off a lot and that fines
may eat his allowance down to nothing (or that he’ll even end up owing me
money), thinks that $2.00 is better than the bupkes he frequently gets. (Olof, however, didn’t want to take a total
killing so he insisted on a stop loss order at $.10).
My younger son, Henri, however, didn’t share his
brother’s need to live not only on the edge but usually on the way far side of
it, and tended to see a great deal more of his allowance than Rory did, often racking
up substantial bonus points as well.
(This kid could suck up like you wouldn’t believe.) So Olof was not likely to buy Henri’s April 1
allowance for less than $3.00 and probably even more if it looked like there
could be good bonus point potential. Henri,
who was eight at the time, had already attempted to get in the game by trying
to buy bonus points with his allowance because bonus points were not subject to
fines but allowance money was. It is
probably not surprising that Henri ultimately ended up in business school.
Like many futures contracts, seasonal factors would
weigh heavily. When home from school on
Christmas vacation, the kids often got bored, calling Mom at work some 30 times
per day to rat each other out, both of them ending up deeply in the hole by
week’s end. (What did they care; it was
Christmas and they knew Santa would deliver even if the allowance fairy
didn’t.) But this kind of stuff was all
insider information to which Olof, still commuting down on weekends from the
Bay area, might not be privy.
You might ask what motivation there might be for any
sort of decent behavior after a kid has sold an allowance contract. A valid point. But these contracts would be sold well in
advance (they were, after all, futures) and Olof’s theory was that the parties wouldn’t
remember or record what weeks they’ve sold.
Rory maybe, but even if deprived of all writing implements, Henri would
have etched it on the patio cement with a garden spade. (See “business school,”
above.) So to make it fair, Olof wanted
to be able to buy blind allowance contracts from the kids so they wouldn’t know
what week they’d sold. At one point Olof
was even trying to figure out to work a straddle where he contracted with both
the kids AND me.
Olof thought that if he were doing well enough on
allowance futures we could even could go public and sell allowance shares. (I personally would have gone short on
these.)
But right about that time, the market picked up, and
CD and money market funds became worthy enough vehicles again. I merely mention this because in the current
uncertain times, parents of elementary and middle school kids might want to
consider allowance futures themselves. It definitely
pays more than your bank.
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